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Larry B Lambert's avatar

We see things a little differently. I posted a bit on Kurdistan - "travel notes" https://www.virtualmirage.org/75297-2/ today. Better with the link in this case. I've been to Kurdistan, spoken with the Barzanis within the year, and worked there, so there is credibility to the extent that my observations are valid. I didn't travel to Iran to meet with the Iranian Kurds. As you point out, all of the Kurdish regions in Syria, Turkey, Barzani and Talibani in Iraq, and the Kurds in Iran have different political bents and different tribal affiliations. Some are hardcore opium growers and marketers, some have more oil, and in all cases, they are "Assyrians" culturally, which separates them from Arabs and Persians. Israel gets along with the Kurds more than just in an enemy of my enemy framework.

I'm certain that the Trump Administration promised the Kurds their "freedom" in exchange for "boots on the ground." Having run with them recently, that is the promise that would turn the trick. The US forces recently withdrawn from Syria were redeployed to Erbil to backfill for the Peshmerga who had deployed. The huge base in Erbil rarely makes the news, but it is significant, and the just-opened US Consulate in Erbil is the largest in the world.

Can the Kurds trust the US? I've also been to Iraq this past year and met with PM al Sudani in person. The Iraqis (Now a full Shiite-run government with Kurdish and Christian representation in Parliament) are going to be 'screwed' in the process. How will SOMO (oil marketing in Iraq) react to the changing landscape? It remains to be seen. However, they will find it easier to get oil to market and to invest in projects.

In Iraq, the November elections went more favorably for Shiites. Now with PM al-Maliki (back) in office, the question of how he will govern is somewhat up in the air. So far, he has taken a pro-US middle course, but the US has not appreciated that in any meaningful way. And an open US regognition of a Kurdish state as free and independent will drop a turd in the punch

Timothy Covington's avatar

I often wonder why the Kurds ever trust the USA, or any other wesern power. They have been promised a Kurdistan since WW1. And,every promise has been broken.

Then again, this is also why I wonder why ANY minor power group trusts any of the major powers.

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